V3Qtor AG/Capabilities/Decision & Risk Sciences
Decisions get a confidence interval before they get a budget.
Distribution fitting, multivariate regression, causal impact, Monte Carlo, VAR, time-series forecasting.
How it runs
Decision & Risk Sciences, in practice.
- 1Fit the data you haveDistributions, regressions and time series on the records the operation already keeps. The fit is documented, versioned and re-run.
- 2A confidence interval before a budgetMonte Carlo and causal impact put a range on every decision before it gets money, and a back-test after.
- 3Calibrated every weekModels re-fitted as the book changes, with drift reported to the people who own the number.
Selected work
Where it has run, and what it returned.
Figures are modeled or targeted. Each use case has its own page under its sector.
- Actuarial Risk Engine insuranceRisk priced per policy
- Dynamic Pricing Engine hospitalityRates from the forecast
- Health Risk Predictor healthcare$8,500 saved per person, per year
- Model Calibration Desk financial servicesWeekly calibration
Talk to us about Decision & Risk Sciences.
Tell us where it would run and which number it would have to move. We will come back with what we would look at first and what the first quarter would produce.